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Do you remember when everyone hated the US dollar. Not saying the US dollar is immune to devaluations, the Euro dollar might be risk of falling. Ok all you online currency trading professionals should you go out and short the Euro dollar? Well look at these facts

1.European bank losses from the financial crisis are now estimated to supercede the U.S. banks? losses.
2.Since the European banks losses are set to increase, how will they be able to lend? Probably not!
3. The IMF projects the European economy is set to contract 4% this year which is worse than the 2.8% contraction for the U.S.
4.Labor protests became more violent and common in Europe ( France)
5. Standard & Poor?s predicted that debt defaults among high-risk European companies would overtake defaults among low-rated U.S. companies.
6.The EU Central was slow to react to the crisis and cut interest rates much slower than the rest of the world. The ECB cut its key interest rate to 1.25% from 4.25% just in the fall. Possibly the only reason the Euro Dollar has not fallen is that?s still well above comparable rates in the U.S. and U.K.
7.The European economy further faces a greater risks due of worsening deterioration because of the deep economic and financial crisises in the formerly communist Eastern European countries.

So taking the fundamental reasons there is good cause for the Eurodollar to fall. So how do you the forex currency trading professional play this? Maybe you are not a professional and need to learn. There exist many forex training programs to learn technical approaches. I am sure many think currency trading is easy?however there are huge risks due to the leverage involved. It is not prudent to purchase any forex software or forex system to trade forex.There is a learning curve. One does not become a doctor with a course. It all takes time and knowledge. Once you have the knowledge?start small.
There are many banks and brokers which offer currency exchange trading. One can also do their forex currency trading via ETFs. Another suggestion is to find a forex broker that are has forex trading online but again?only after you have learned.
Forex currency trading can be profitable but there are risks. Now is a good time to gather some education on trading techniques as potentially the Euro Dollar might experience problems in the future. Good luck with your trading.

www.myinvestorsplace.com

The delusion conceptually propounds that intraweek and intraday FOREX currency quotes movement is governed by either improvement or by deterioration of the state?s economic situation. But in reality, even in case the actual Forex news are superior to the estimated one, the FOREX quotes up/down movement is of 50/50 probability.

This statement is thoroughly important. Once the job of Forex trader is gambling on FOREX exchange rates differential (FOREX pairs up/down movement), the following is to be realized to obtain faultless profit:

FOREX pairs pricing mechanism (say at point X where you are completing the market analysis)

Factors imparting growth/decline to FOREX rates (up/down from point X).

Thus, having understood the FOREX ratesfactors effective at the extra-exchange (book-maker) FOREX market and the given currency motive factors, a trader must possess distinct knowledge of whether to buy or to sell the given currency pair.

So, what are these factors?

FOREX student suggest unambiguous interpretation of factors responsible for the price formation and the fluctuations there of:

Forex rate constitutes a demand-supply balance for a given goods (currency).

Any violation of this balance, (for instance, in case where the estimated news is in disagreement with the issued official one), results in the FOREX rates reciprocation in chase of a new demand-supply balance. Poor demand brings about decline in a certain currency rate, with a high demand leading to the growth of the latter. The situation continues as long as the currency buy/sell demand comes to balance at another level or at another point.

Referring to the B. Williams (?Trading Chaos 2? Chapter 1 ?The market is what you are thinking of it?):

Each world market is dedicated to distribute or share limited amount of something? among those desirous to obtain it most of all. The market affects it by way of finding out and identifying the exact price? Underlying the buyer?/sellers? power absolute equilibrium point.

The above point is readily established by stock, futures, bonds, FOREX and options markets, be it either via an open auction or by virtue of a computerized facility. Markets spot this point prior to any misbalance being detectable by You or by me or even by traders at the exchange floor.

With this scenario holding true ? and it really does ? we are in position to jump at certain simple yet important conclusions as regards the information being circulated through the market and enjoying doubtless acceptance?.

Thomas Demark was more laconic in ?Technical analysis – an emerging science?:

?Price movement is governed by demand and supply. Should demand exceed supply, there?s a price rally and if visa versa, there?s a price decline. All economists do share these underlying principles?.

Hence, the role of fundamental analysis for FOREX market is readily apparent.

In scholar fiction one will discover roughly the following explanation, persistently wandering from book to book, from site to site and suggesting attaining successful trading at FOREX market by way of scrutinizing the country?s economic fundamental data, viz. by tracking the factors reflective of the country?s economy condition as below:

State economy condition dynamics indicators (GDP, trade & payments balance, current account, industrial production, etc. It is knowledge, that the higher the above indicators ? the faster the economic and the currency price growth);

Stock indices, via average arithmetic index of the country?s securities market condition and dynamics. E.g.: 0.3% daily DJI growth in the USA means that this certain day the shares of 30 leading US companies, being pictured by DJU, went 0.3% more expensive. By similarity, DAX30 is the major German index, incorporating the price of shares of the country?s 30 leading companies.

The country?s interest rate, since the higher the rate, the greater number of investors is eager to invest into the country?s economy and hence into national currency strength.

Rate of inflation (the higher the rate, the quicker the National Bank will hike the interest rate). With this assumption, the CPI constitutes a key factor.

Money supply growth in domestic market, which fact brings about the inflation, leading to the interest rate hike.

The country?s gold and currency reserve assets.

Variation dynamics correlation of: balances of payment, trade balance, state budget, gross domestic product (GDP), etc.

Trade and industry dynamics (industrial production, industrial orders, DGO, capacity utilization, retail sales, etc.)

Construction statistics (construction spending, new home sales, housing under construction, building permits, etc.)

Labor statistics (unemployment rate, new jobs, etc.)

Society investigations (consumer confidence, consumer sentiment, purchase managers and service managers sentiment, etc.)

To be considered additionally are the country?s political stability and tranquility (clearly, any political, natural and other cataclysms are sure to turn investors nervous making them withdraw the investments from the country, thus weakening its national currency). And with the currency being the national economy derivative, changes in economic data will inevitably result in the above currency rate movement.

Conclusions:

Progress in economy results in the currency exchange rate rally.

Decrease in economic indicators leads to the national currency rate decline.

To sum it up, critical economic and political news (whose calendar is issued in advance and is familiar to any trader) constitute a standing factor giving rise to misbalance and causing the currency rate fluctuations.

In anticipation of important economic and political news FOREX pair crawl to the rates as inspired by the estimates (?rumored trade?), whereas upon actual news there occurs a pulse motion of FOREX pairs in accordance with the scheme below;

Forex rate grows if actual news are better than the estimated one;

Forex rate declines if actual news are worse than the estimated one.

ARE YOU FAMILIAR WITH THESE ABC BASICS OF STUDYING FOREX?

Do you accept that one can earn money by way of using these basics, known to every trader?

Then why, having absorbed these economic axioms, 90% of Forex traders in the world are losers rather than winners.

Where is the delusion of the above ABC truth, nudging traders towards losses? Let us perform sort of point-by-point analysis.

The currency exchange FOREX market is a book-makers one. It is gambling on rates difference without direct money delivery to the exchange market, except for hedging of traders? funds by Forex brokers, via buy-sell difference especially during strong trends). Then, www.forexite.com reads: ?Trading is performed without actual currencies supply, which fact cuts overheads and enables Forexite to go long and short on the currency? http://www.forexite.com/forexite_advantages/forex_advantages.html.

Comment: Have you ever met any book-makers;

o whose logics was coincident with that of THEIR clients (traders),

o whose stakes were being made in accordance with THEIR technical analysts forecasts, economic laws and common sense?

And what extent of doubt and skepticism should be attached to THEIR free ?recommendations?, ?advice?, ?surveys? and ?forecasts?, laid out at THEIR sites through THEIR analysts?

As a regular result, over 90% of the world traders are still loosing their deposits at FOREX each time they follow Thomas Demark stereotype that ?All the economists share these underlying principles?.

Comment No.1. In as much as the above underlying principles are 90% contradictory to practice, it gives rise to the following question. Might these ?underlying principles, shared by all economists including Thomas Demark? have possibly turned into dogma, alien to life and practice?

Comment No.2. What should a trader lean on: practice or dogma even if supported by great names, provided that the trader is purported at earning money?

FOREX analysts issuing their daily bulky market reviews are not FOREX traders in the overwhelming majority (see detailed discussion below). And on bringing together pairs 1, 2 and 3 there appears certain regularity.

Please, think over A. Elder words, that: ?FOREX rates and the fundamental analysis are tied together with a mile-long rope. The fundamental analysis is ultimately decisive. But anything is likely to happen prior to this eventuality?. See http://forum.alpari-idc.ru/viewtopic.php?p=233365&sid=a15db5e24b0eec0a8cf725e2c5cac859).

Another, yet no less renowned trader and analyst, Bill Williams underlines the same mental regularity of an experienced professional trader (level 3 of his trader?s skill rating as per ?Trading Chaos 2?): ?On attaining level 3 you emerge as a self-provided pro trader. You are always familiar with the market?s basic, usually invisible structure. You no longer need to refer to others? opinions. You needn?t read ?Wall Street Journal?, watch market-oriented TV programs, and subscribe to information bulletins, waste money on information channels?.

Comment: Logically, there is a counter-implication, that if You are eager to become a successful trader, You are to restrict the influence of various surveys and recommendations on yourself even in case they originate from the world famous ?Wall Street Journal?, to say nothing of crude gurus in analyst skins who use to know ahead of time where currencies will go.

Forex news is a scheduled issue of fundamental data, which as a rule impairs FOREX rates a sharp pulse of motion. But then, why the currency rates movement vector is only 50% coincident with the ABC truism logics as to where the rate should rush in case of actual news being much better or worse than the estimate. And, please, make an attempt to answer the following question, stirring for every trader: why with the new being worse than expected (say, on US economy), the USD currency would initially fall by 40 pips (news work-off) but in 5 to 10 minutes it would swivel back and would display a 200-point rally, with no account to either the issued news or to common sense.

Below are some examples:

Fig. 1. GBPUSD chart as of April 1, 2005 after the news, positive for the GBP and negative for the US economy.

(Picture you can see on author site )

In March the CIPS manufacturing index amounted to 52.0 (with the previous data revised from 51.8 to 51.6). Oil price in NYC has grown by USD 2.40 up to USD57.70 per bbl (new record of the latest 21 years). Non-farm payrolls in the USA was minimum since last July (previous data revised towards lower values). There has been a decline in the Michigan sentiment index to 92.6 (median estimate was 92.9, with 92.9 previously).

All the US indices faced a fall down. DJI at NYSE has fallen by 99.46 pips (-0.95%) towards closing at 10404.30. NASDAQ declined by 14.42 pips (-0.72%) to 1984.81. S&P500 slipped by 7.67 pips (-0.65%) to 1172.92. 30-yr US Bonds yielded 4.729 (0.037 lower as compared to the previous close). By contrary, FTSE100 has grown by 19.60 pips (+0.40%) to 4914.00.

Now, the question is to certified economists: what will happen to the GBPUSD within one day or even several hours upon publication of these data? You are right, USD should not simply fall down, it should collapse. Powerfully, swiftly. Well, well?

And this time, the same question to experienced traders. By FOREX news headlines You might have guessed that the events are taking place at the Friday American session. Correct. Initially, anyway, the GBPUSD chart will go up by 100 pips (news wok-off), followed by a pullback. Then Forex chart starts a new rally.

It is now to be tracked whether the GBP will breach the latest rally high or not. If affirmative, it will rush up by approximately 160 pips (Elliott wave 1 was 100 pips, while EW 3 is 60% longer). But if the high is not breached? The GBP currency quote will in no way come to a standstill, moreover on Friday afternoon. Hence, – down, to the starting point! And, if breached, similar situation takes shape but the counting is performed in a ?down? direction (EW1, being the same 100 pips plus 187 pips from 1.8826 to 1.8759 being EW 3).

The FOREX day trading tactics will be given scrutiny in a separate chapter. A still separate chapter will be dedicated to Friday trade at American session due to its inherent specifics and to strong seemingly inappropriate movement. The movement is, of course, appropriate. To say nothing of Friday. But it will be touched upon later.

Now, getting back to the currency chart. As apparent, the GBPUSD pair movement on Friday, April, 01, 2005 is in no way in conjunction with the US economy fundamental data. Each forex trader can provide from tens to hundreds of similar instances, where the news are of a certain vector, whereas, after a fraudulent rush along the news vector, a currency applies reverse thrust.

Thereafter, the next day, in daily currency surveys, certified economists are sure to explain all to us by way of inventing another undisguised nonsense, like: ?in spite of certain data, traders decided that the currency has already worked-off this side?. But! How could this occur on Apr, 01, 2005, provided that the currency has been staying flat in a narrow range in the course of the whole of the European session?

Otherwise, another explanation may emerge, that forex traders were expecting still more inferior news on the US economy? But! By how much more inferior, if according to DJ, the US non-farm payrolls MA was equivalent to 180K, with actual being +110K, estimate being +225K and prior being +243K? And in what manner do these economists count up world traders: by capita, by countries or by the funds, lost by those, who continued staying long in a holy belief in renowned academic scholars postulate of FOREX rates being tied up to countries? economy statistics.

I wonder if I?ll ever chance to witness legal procedures to be instituted against any of those famous scholars, so that no one would dare claim that fundamental data trigger rate spikes.

The same pertains to economists, writing about the way, hundreds of thousands traders throughout the globe have conspired to conclude that it is time to reverse the trends with absolutely no grounds. Is it really feasible?

Such reading-matter is, but hammering a single question into one?s head: is it lie or is it stupidity of those cooking daily reports for taking traders for a ride, fooling them up and keeping them from the truth, which might be of great avail to them in daily trading. Traders are not a decisive factor, thus rates movement is in no way dependent on their will. Practically in no way.

Wanna check? Negotiate with tens of traders of the trading floor and arrange for a simultaneous entry long on some exotic FOREX pair. In so doing, try to push up either the NZDHKD, or the NZDCAD, or the HKDCAD. No need? I think so. You?ll certainly suffer failure with the above, to say nothing of the EUR, GBP, CHF.

Another example:

Fig.2. GBPUSD movement as of May 13, 2005.

(Picture you can see on author site )

This is an M15 chart of the American session, where the USD pair has grown by over 100 pips from 1.8583 to 1.8481 against the news, negative for the US economy:

Most indices have dropped down: DJI at NYSE ? by 49.36 pips (-0.48%) to close at 10140.12; S&P500 ? by 5.31 pips (-0.46%) to 1154.05. NASDAQ has grown by 12.92 pips (+0.66%) to1976.80. 30yr US Bonds yielded 4.484 (0.047 drop from previous close)

There is a fall in Michigan sentiment index. In May UMich was 85.3 with med est 90.0 and prior 87.7. So it was worse than the estimate, reaching the low since March, 2003. The index decline was being observed for the fifth month.

The April US export price index was +0.6% with prior of +0.7%.

Below are other similar examples of that same day.

Fig. 3. EURUSD chart as of May 13, 2005.

(Picture you can see on author site )

Hundreds of examples may be offered, where the Forex news vector is opposite to that of the currency movement. Practically, actual news may happen to be superior or inferior to the estimate. FOREX quotes up/down movement is also of 50/50 probability irrespective of the above.

Why does it happen and what is the way for a trader to pinpoint entries and exits? This is going to be discussed in ensuing chapters of this book and in the Masterforex-V Trading Academy proceedings.

Full text of this article and pictures of examples http://www.masterforex-v.su/

If you wish to be trained on Trading System Masterforex-V – one of new and most effective techniques of trade on Forex in the world visit http://www.masterforex-v.su/

If you want to win at forex trading, then you can it’s a learned skill. That’s the good news however 95% of traders lose and you must understand the following key points and make them part of your essential forex education. If you do, you will win…

Here are your key points, in no particular order of importance – there all important.

1. Forex Trading is NOT Easy!

Most traders just think they can buy $100 buck robot or get a mentor and someone will lead them to success. This is na

Many people want to make as much profits as possible from the forex market, therefore they always want to be in the market so that they will not miss any trading opportunity. Is this the correct way to trade forex?

The fact that 95% of the people loose money in forex trading is because they lack of trading discipline, money management, patience and most of all, they are too eager to trade (trigger happy). Forex trading is about high probability trade setups, and to win in forex by trading many times a day is not easy at all. You are lowering the probability of winning a forex trade.

You can be those short-term traders and scalpers who make a few profits here and there but receive a lot of stress in return OR be a trader who takes in only one or 2 trades per week and able to satisfy your monthly needs.

Let me give you an example. Trader A needs to trade everyday to make 10 pips per day(out of 20 trading days) in order to achieve 200 pips per month. Trader B only needs to trade for 2 weeks which can make him 100 pips per week. Which will you choose? 80% chose the latter after I asked them this question.

A lot of people start forex trading with the first method because they want quick profits out from the market or lack of confidence that the trend will sustain. Every each and individual has their own preferences, I can’t say which is wrong and which is right.

But if you are trading forex for already quite sometime, you should have realized that often a perfect trade setup is the one that you are looking for. You know that you can make an excellent living from forex trading if you are able to find just 1 of the ideal trade setups per week.

I personally use some forex technical indicators to detect the high probability trade setups and will make sure that those indicators are all in the same direction before I decide to trade. I do not like to trade for small profits because firstly, I have a high risk to reward ratio (profit target of at least 60 pips if my stop loss is 30 pips) to meet. Secondly, I only go along with the real trend, and it’s the real trend that brings me the big fish.

I understand that some people will disagree by saying that a forex trend does not occur everyday. That’s the point I want to prove, there is no real trend everyday, that’s why I only trade once or twice per week, or even per 2 weeks, but already it’s enough for my income.

The main point I want to get across is that you only need a few of the high probability setups to make some excellent returns. If you are not sure what kinds of methods are able to do that, please download my FREE ebook which provides the information and forex trading system that you need to trade successfully.

Foreign currency trading is the most profitable and powerful way to make money today in the world.

It is a 2.5 trillion dollars daily global market and business.

For this reason the knowledge and the secrets of how to do it successfully have been kept away from the public for thousands of years.

This is because it is the jealously guarded ?SECRET? of how the ?Money and Power? Elites, the multi-national and multi-billion dollars corporations, largest banks and governments of the world, the ?Movers & Shakers? of International Banking & Finance, Business moguls & Tycoons, CEOs of major Corporations, secret societies and the privileged blue bloodlines of the Wealthiest Families of Europe and the Americas make their money and get rich.

They create vast fortunes easily trading foreign currencies.

Thereafter, using this great wealth, they create factories to manufacture consumer goods and products and hire you, Joe Bloke to work in those factories, banks and jobs at minimum wages.

So, it is no wonder why they don?t want you to know about the REAL TRUTH and ?SECRET? on how to generate great wealth through foreign currency trading.

If you know how to trade foreign currency and generate $100,000 monthly for life, will you be idiotic, na

Going into the forex market means that there is a lot to learn if you want to be successful. As well as a knowledge of markets and strategies, you will need to combine this with a knowledge of the currencies involved and the countries where they are used. The good news is that beginners can quickly get to grips with the major players of the forex market.

In forex trading the US dollar (USD) is the most traded currency, followed closely by the Euro (EUR) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The Euro covers many of the European countries, one notable exception being the UK who trade in British Pounds Sterling (GBP). When you get started in forex trading you can of course make your own mind up as to what currency to trade – some other major currencies including the Canadian dollar (CAD) and the Australian Dollar (AUD).

If you are completely new to forex then you may decide to start trading using your own currency. This makes sense for a lot of beginners due to the fact that they are completely comfortable with their own currency, and probably already have a sense of its strong or weak points in recent years. If you decide to trade in a currency other than your own then that is also perfectly acceptable. The good news is that the internet makes gaining information much easier than it once was. In fact you may already be aware of changes in the exchange market simply by keeping track of worldwide news. As well as this through increased demand for software and automatic sensing systems within the Forex market, products such as Forex Phantom have been developed to help the Forex trader minimise their risks and keep profits high. Forex Phantom has only been released this year and is set to be the worlds best selling Forex trading system in the next 6 months. With its unique features and simple to use interface Forex Phantom is able to minimise your risks and guarantee profitable trades.

When you start trading forex take some time to learn about the major currencies. You should be able to find information on each one online, including charts that help you get to grips with recent trends.

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Reviewed By Adam West

So you may have seen online “forex EA this, forex Robot that” but are probably

There is a lot of information out there for Forex currency trading beginner. If you have decided that your ultimate goal is to become an expert foreign exchange trader, you should take a look at some must-have information. The first thing that should concern you is to find out what exactly FOREX is all about.

The Forex market is one of the biggest financial investment market in the world. Many think that the stock market is huge, but it can not quite measure up the size of the Forex market. Even if we add the futures market to the stock market, the Forex market would still have a bigger amount of money being traded every day.

The door of the Forex market was opened to highly wealthy people only in the past, and you would be asked to present millions of dollars before your entry. Thanks to the presence of online trading companies, average investors can also have their share in this exciting field today. That being said, you still need to be able to afford the risk of financial loss.

Forex trading involves people buying and selling different currencies of the world. To be exact, every time you trade, you buy one currency while selling another. This is because currency trading always involves pairs. Thus, quotes of currencies will come in one currency paired with another. The major players include the U.S. dollar and the Canadian dollar (USD/CAD), the Euro and the U.S. dollar (EUR/USD), the U.S. dollar and the yen (USD/JPY) and the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar (AUD/USD).

There are many advantages to trading in the Forex market. The transactions are fast because everything is electronic. You also are assured that there are often people who would want to trade with you. This is simply because there are so many people who are trading everyday and every hour of the day. You can buy and sell at anytime whenever you want to.

Leverage is another attractive aspect of currency trading. With a nearly unbelievable ratio of 200:1, you leverage capacity is simply huge. With very minimal initial cash you can already manage a large amount of currency. This is probably the main reason why the market is quite attractive for those who want to increase their earnings impressively.

However, if you think you can get rich overnight in the Forex market, think it again. You can also lose in this game, and the loss can be just as huge as the profits if you take use of the leverage capacity. Those who do lose money are often those who act impulsively with the hopes of getting rich instantaneously. If you do not take the time to learn the inner wheels of Forex trading and the technical aspects of leveraging, then you could lose everything you have put into currency trading.

For any Forex currency trading beginner, the best way to dive into this game is to get well-prepared in terms of knowledge, practice, budget and psychology. If you are just an average player, you can pick an online company who offers virtual trading with imaginary currencies without any substantial cost or loss on your part. So, position yourself as a beginner and start by playing small, you can improve quite quickly and steadily.

Forex currency trading involves the buying and selling of currency to make a profit. It requires you to make use of the very latest information and staying updated on the influencing factors like international politics and oil prices.

To effectively learn and apply strategies to make a profit in this volatile market, you have to be able to identify certain patterns. Of course, you could depend on specially designed software that will bring the market into your home!

The Forex markets around the world open and close at different times and that allows you to benefit from the right timing of excesses. You can pull in profits by carefully analyzing when the market. Identify trades that are significantly lower than its opening and has the possibility of rallying a little later.

More likely than not, such movement of the market results in the subsequent closing at the end of the day at either above or close to the opening price! The pattern forms a hammer-shape and just the opposite happens in the inverted hammer. In the latter, a price pattern charting occurs when securities trade higher after the market opens. Some other jargon that you must know in the Forex currency trading world includes:

Gravestone: where the market gaps open above the previous day’s close. The uptrend pattern also rallies higher initially and then loses strength. It closes at a low, exhibiting a very bear like momentum. The trend reversal is an opening below the Shooting Star on the next day of Forex trading worldwide. The condition is that if the open and the close in the Forex currency trading market are similar, then the indicator is considered a Gravestone Doji and it has a higher reliability.

Shooting star: A candlestick that indicates a reversal is also termed as a shooting star within the Forex currency trading market. When the shooting star occurs, the price in the market opens higher than the previous day’s close. Through the course of the day, the rates jump well above the opening price and finally close lower.

Three white soldiers: ‘Three white soldiers’ is a very bull like market condition and reversal in nature. In this situation, after a decline, the pattern signals a change and trend reversal.

Three black crows: This bearish pattern occurs when the day opens higher than the previous day’s low. It also closes near the previous low on record in the Forex currency trading market.

Forex trading is a very attractive market place for currency exchange and is easily the largest financial arena on the planet. Millions of investors trade within this space almost simultaneously, from different parts of the world and the Forex currency trading market is accessible 24×7.

There are a number of online and offline resources that generate all possible information one would require to start trading. They are designed to impart a professional study of the most popular techniques implemented within the Forex trading market worldwide and technical methods, trading tips and dedicated glossary for a fundamental analysis.

How does currency exchange work?
I am comparing a possible benefit compared to using Forex Foreign Exchange software that trade currency.
Is it anything different or is it better to show up at the NYSE or Dow Jone Merchentile trading?